MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Baz wins 2 (K, W); Shane Bieber wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Shane Baz
96.0
Shane Bieber
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
10.7%
Shane Bieber
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
20.3%
Shane Bieber
15.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Shane Baz
30.0%
Shane Bieber
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
41.7%
Shane Bieber
45.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
7.0%
Shane Bieber
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Shane Baz
.320
Shane Bieber
.407
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Shane Baz
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.25
Shane Bieber
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Shane Baz
1.022.28
now 1.43
1.39
Shane Bieber
1.022.28
now 2.00
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Shane Baz
4077.40
now 57
45
Shane Bieber
4077.40
now 6
34
Winshigher is better
Shane Baz
.0002.80
now 2
12
Shane Bieber
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeShane Bieber — hold.conf 0.50
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