Rest of Season Projection
TroyCategoryWade
7HR ←6
34R ←21
37RBI →56
4SB →14
.294AVG ←.246
Current Season
TroyCategoryWade
2HR2
23R ←3
25RBI ←8
3SB ←2
.312AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Troy Johnston
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.387 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Wade Meckler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.372 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.355 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
Troy Johnston: 7 HR / 34 R. Wade Meckler: 6 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).