Rest of Season Projection
A.J.CategoryAlex
6HR ←4
28R →39
21RBI →42
14SB ←0
.243AVG →.254
Current Season
A.J.CategoryAlex
1HR ←0
8R →12
6RBI →13
4SB ←0
.224AVG →.290
What Each Player's System Trusts
A.J. Ewing
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.322)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.328 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.310 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
A.J. Ewing: 6 HR / 28 R. Alex Call: 4 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).