MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Aaron Bummer
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Aaron Bummer wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Bummer
90.5
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Bummer
9.8%
Andrew Alvarez
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Bummer
15.5%
Andrew Alvarez
22.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Bummer
27.7%
Andrew Alvarez
30.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Bummer
51.7%
Andrew Alvarez
43.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Bummer
13.3%
Andrew Alvarez
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Bummer
.373
Andrew Alvarez
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Bummer
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.82
3.70
Andrew Alvarez
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.25
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Bummer
.9502.25
now 1.96
1.24
Andrew Alvarez
.9502.25
now 1.28
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Bummer
4032.60
now 13
15
Andrew Alvarez
4032.60
now 17
27
Winshigher is better
Aaron Bummer
.0002.80
now 1
01
Andrew Alvarez
.0002.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Bummer
.0004.40
now 0
0
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.40
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAaron Bummer — hold.conf 0.50
SellAndrew Alvarez — sell.conf 0.68
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