Who's more valuable, rest of season
Aaron Civale.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Andrew Abbott’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
◀
W
SV n/a
Aaron Civale wins 2 categories (K, W); Andrew Abbott wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Andrew Abbott
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.1%
Andrew Abbott
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.9%
Andrew Abbott
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.2%
Andrew Abbott
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
46.2%
Andrew Abbott
38.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.2%
Andrew Abbott
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.350
Andrew Abbott
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.685.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.87
Andrew Abbott
3.685.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.42
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.341.54
now 1.47
1.41
Andrew Abbott
1.341.54
now 1.44
1.41
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4047.60
now 39
36
Andrew Abbott
4047.60
now 42
34
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.4007.60
now 5
3–6
Andrew Abbott
.4007.60
now 4
2–4
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
SellAndrew Abbott — sell.conf 0.70