Cross-position comparison — no head-to-head winner arrows. Each player's own projection categories are shown in their column.
Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryChase
Aaron Judge (RF)
28HR—
67R—
59RBI—
8SB—
.255AVG—
Chase Burns (P)
—K130
—ERA2.89
—WHIP1.17
—W8–17
—SV0
Current Season
AaronCategoryChase
Aaron Judge (RF)
17HR—
43R—
38RBI—
5SB—
.248AVG—
Chase Burns (P)
—K72
—ERA1.96
—WHIP0.96
—W7
—SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Judge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.415, +0.100 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Chase Burns
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Judge projects for 28 HR / .255 AVG; Burns for 130 K / 2.89 ERA. Different categories—roster need drives value. The sell-high verdict on Burns signals caution.