MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Dean Kremer
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 1 (ERA); Dean Kremer wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Dean Kremer
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.6%
Dean Kremer
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.0%
Dean Kremer
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
33.4%
Dean Kremer
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
39.9%
Dean Kremer
35.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.2%
Dean Kremer
9.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.312
Dean Kremer
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.516.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.11
Dean Kremer
3.516.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.09
4.34
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
.9001.58
now 1.39
1.31
Dean Kremer
.9001.58
now 0.91
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4089.60
now 64
0
Dean Kremer
4089.60
now 16
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Dean Kremer
.0004.20
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
SellDean Kremer — sell.conf 0.66
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