MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Jake Bennett
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jake Bennett.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Aaron Nola’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jake Bennett wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Jake Bennett
92.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Jake Bennett
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.4%
Jake Bennett
19.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.9%
Jake Bennett
37.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.4%
Jake Bennett
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.2%
Jake Bennett
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.307
Jake Bennett
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.686.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
3.95
Jake Bennett
2.686.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.50
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.071.62
now 1.39
1.31
Jake Bennett
1.071.62
now 1.50
1.19

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4087.60
now 64
12
Jake Bennett
4087.60
now 8
5
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0004.20
now 3
01
Jake Bennett
.0004.20
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
BuyJake Bennett — buy.conf 0.78
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