Who's more valuable, rest of season
Aaron Nola.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Peter Lambert’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a
Aaron Nola wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Peter Lambert wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Peter Lambert
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Peter Lambert
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.4%
Peter Lambert
23.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.9%
Peter Lambert
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.4%
Peter Lambert
35.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.2%
Peter Lambert
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.307
Peter Lambert
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.896.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
3.95
Peter Lambert
2.896.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.65
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.141.46
now 1.39
1.31
Peter Lambert
1.141.46
now 1.21
1.32
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4085.20
now 64
13
Peter Lambert
4085.20
now 43
11
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0005.60
now 3
0–1
Peter Lambert
.0005.60
now 4
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
BuyPeter Lambert — buy.conf 0.73