MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Sonny Gray.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Sonny Gray wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Sonny Gray
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Sonny Gray
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.4%
Sonny Gray
22.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.9%
Sonny Gray
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.4%
Sonny Gray
37.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.2%
Sonny Gray
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.307
Sonny Gray
.297
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.066.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
3.95
Sonny Gray
2.066.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.06
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.121.47
now 1.39
1.31
Sonny Gray
1.121.47
now 1.20
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4086
now 64
12
Sonny Gray
4086
now 41
9
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0008.40
now 3
01
Sonny Gray
.0008.40
now 6
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
BuySonny Gray — buy.conf 0.73
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