Rest of Season Projection
AdleyCategoryCarter
10HR ←9
36R →37
52RBI ←42
0SB0
.281AVG ←.183
Current Season
AdleyCategoryCarter
7HR7
20R →23
29RBI ←26
0SB0
.252AVG ←.223
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adley Rutschman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.383, +0.068 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Adley Rutschman: 10 HR / 36 R. Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).