Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryAlex
34K →50
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W ←1–3
1–4SV →1–7
Current Season
AlbertCategoryAlex
10K →28
2.61ERA →2.21
1.21WHIP →0.93
2W ←1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.16 is 0.79 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Alex Vesia
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.35)
Albert Suárez: 34 K / 3.71 ERA. Alex Vesia: 50 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).