MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Alex Lange
Alex Lange
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Alex Lange wins 2 (K, WHIP); Paul Blackburn wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Lange
95.9
Paul Blackburn
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
12.1%
Paul Blackburn
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
21.1%
Paul Blackburn
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Lange
28.4%
Paul Blackburn
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
42.3%
Paul Blackburn
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
11.7%
Paul Blackburn
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Lange
.343
Paul Blackburn
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Lange
2.864.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.77
Paul Blackburn
2.864.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.61
WHIPlower is better
Alex Lange
1.191.51
now 1.35
1.26
Paul Blackburn
1.191.51
now 1.44
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Lange
4031.60
now 26
24
Paul Blackburn
4031.60
now 16
15
Winshigher is better
Alex Lange
.0004.20
now 0
00
Paul Blackburn
.0004.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAlex Lange — hold.conf 0.55
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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