MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Justin Lawrence
Justin Lawrence
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Lawrence wins 2 (K, WHIP); Paul Blackburn wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Lawrence
95.6
Paul Blackburn
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Lawrence
10.7%
Paul Blackburn
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Lawrence
24.3%
Paul Blackburn
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Lawrence
24.0%
Paul Blackburn
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Lawrence
43.0%
Paul Blackburn
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Lawrence
10.0%
Paul Blackburn
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Lawrence
.380
Paul Blackburn
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Lawrence
2.536.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.32
3.75
Paul Blackburn
2.536.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.61
WHIPlower is better
Justin Lawrence
1.131.67
now 1.55
1.25
Paul Blackburn
1.131.67
now 1.44
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Lawrence
4030.60
now 25
22
Paul Blackburn
4030.60
now 16
15
Winshigher is better
Justin Lawrence
.0004.20
now 0
00
Paul Blackburn
.0004.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Lawrence — hold.conf 0.55
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Tweet