MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Drey Jameson
AZ · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Lawrence
Justin Lawrence
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Drey Jameson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Justin Lawrence’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Drey Jameson wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Justin Lawrence wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Drey Jameson
96.5
Justin Lawrence
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Drey Jameson
13.5%
Justin Lawrence
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Drey Jameson
17.1%
Justin Lawrence
24.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Drey Jameson
29.4%
Justin Lawrence
24.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Drey Jameson
28.3%
Justin Lawrence
43.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Drey Jameson
5.7%
Justin Lawrence
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Drey Jameson
.322
Justin Lawrence
.380
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Drey Jameson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 18.00
3.70
Justin Lawrence
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.32
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Drey Jameson
.9002.55
now 4.00
1.24
Justin Lawrence
.9002.55
now 1.55
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Drey Jameson
4034.60
now 1
19
Justin Lawrence
4034.60
now 25
22
Winshigher is better
Drey Jameson
.000.480
now 0
00
Justin Lawrence
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDrey Jameson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Lawrence — hold.conf 0.55
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