MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of Alex Lange
Alex Lange
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Sam Hentges
Sam Hentges
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Sam Hentges.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Alex Lange’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Sam Hentges wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Alex Lange wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Lange
95.9
Sam Hentges
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
12.1%
Sam Hentges
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
21.6%
Sam Hentges
25.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Lange
28.7%
Sam Hentges
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
41.1%
Sam Hentges
29.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
11.2%
Sam Hentges
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Lange
.340
Sam Hentges
.317
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Lange
25.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.77
Sam Hentges
25.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.17
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Alex Lange
1.111.70
now 1.35
1.26
Sam Hentges
1.111.70
now 1.57
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Lange
4032.80
now 26
26
Sam Hentges
4032.80
now 9
21
Winshigher is better
Alex Lange
.000.480
now 0
00
Sam Hentges
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAlex Lange — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeSam Hentges — hold.conf 0.50
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