MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Alex Lange
Alex Lange
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Richards
Trevor Richards
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trevor Richards.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Alex Lange’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Trevor Richards wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Alex Lange wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Lange
95.9
Trevor Richards
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
12.1%
Trevor Richards
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
21.1%
Trevor Richards
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Lange
28.4%
Trevor Richards
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
42.3%
Trevor Richards
42.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
11.7%
Trevor Richards
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Lange
.343
Trevor Richards
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Lange
2.936.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.77
Trevor Richards
2.936.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Alex Lange
1.121.42
now 1.35
1.26
Trevor Richards
1.121.42
now 1.19
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Lange
4031.60
now 26
25
Trevor Richards
4031.60
now 14
20
Winshigher is better
Alex Lange
.000.480
now 0
00
Trevor Richards
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAlex Lange — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeTrevor Richards — hold.conf 0.50
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