Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryBrad
47K ←43
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–6SV ←0
Current Season
AlexCategoryBrad
28K →31
2.21ERA ←2.68
0.93WHIP ←1.00
1W →3
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Vesia
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.33)
Brad Lord
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.232 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.52 is 1.06 above the ERA — regression coming
Alex Vesia: 47 K / 3.70 ERA. Brad Lord: 43 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).