Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryKevin
49K ←30
3.70ERA3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–7
1–6SV ←1–5
Current Season
AlexCategoryKevin
28K ←19
2.21ERA ←2.67
0.93WHIP →0.81
1W →3
2SV2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Vesia
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.35)
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Alex Vesia: 49 K / 3.70 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 30 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).