Rest of Season Projection
IanCategoryKevin
50K ←32
3.72ERA →3.69
1.26WHIP →1.24
2–7W →3–7
1–5SV1–6
Current Season
IanCategoryKevin
32K ←19
4.66ERA →2.67
1.28WHIP →0.81
3W3
2SV2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ian Seymour
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.90)
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Ian Seymour: 50 K / 3.72 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 32 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).