Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryBen
9HR →20
37R →70
47RBI →70
2SB →3
.237AVG →.270
Current Season
AndrewCategoryBen
5HR →17
21R →44
27RBI →44
1SB →2
.238AVG →.306
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Benintendi
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.313)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Andrew Benintendi: 9 HR / 37 R. Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).