MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
PHI · P
Change to
Rhett Lowder
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Painter.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Rhett Lowder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Painter wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Rhett Lowder wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Painter
96.5
Rhett Lowder
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
11.2%
Rhett Lowder
9.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
18.6%
Rhett Lowder
18.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
31.9%
Rhett Lowder
27.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
35.2%
Rhett Lowder
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
9.0%
Rhett Lowder
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Painter
.346
Rhett Lowder
.351
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Painter
4.386.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
4.77
Rhett Lowder
4.386.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.01
4.88
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Painter
1.341.59
now 1.52
1.41
Rhett Lowder
1.341.59
now 1.45
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Painter
4050.20
now 43
29
Rhett Lowder
4050.20
now 31
25
Winshigher is better
Andrew Painter
.0004.20
now 1
01
Rhett Lowder
.0004.20
now 3
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Painter — hold.conf 0.60
SellRhett Lowder — sell.conf 0.90
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