Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryRhett
71K ←59
4.59ERA ←4.67
1.40WHIP ←1.49
1–2W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryRhett
43K ←31
5.74ERA →5.01
1.52WHIP →1.45
1W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — the 6.43 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.85 is +0.75 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Rhett Lowder
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.98 +0.88 vs league with no luck excuse
Andrew Painter: 71 K / 4.59 ERA. Rhett Lowder: 59 K / 4.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).