Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryKyle
9HR →20
36R →54
36RBI →58
0SB →1
.314AVG ←.190
Current Season
AndrewCategoryKyle
1HR →22
10R →36
10RBI →39
0SB →1
.354AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Kyle Schwarber
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.381, +0.066 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Kyle Schwarber: 20 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).