Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryLuis
9HR →10
36R →37
36RBI →52
0SB →3
.314AVG ←.283
Current Season
AndrewCategoryLuis
1HR →5
10R →21
10RBI →30
0SB →2
.354AVG ←.264
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Luis García Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Luis García Jr.: 10 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

