Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryMunetaka
7HR →13
32R →57
32RBI →55
0SB →1
.311AVG ←.181
Current Season
AndrewCategoryMunetaka
1HR →20
10R →43
10RBI →41
0SB →1
.354AVG ←.240
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.400 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.345 is 0.083 below the surface — regression coming
Munetaka Murakami
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.380, +0.065 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Andrew Vaughn: 7 HR / 33 R. Munetaka Murakami: 14 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).