MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 13, 2026
Portrait of Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWS · P
Change to
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Bieber.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Anthony Kay’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Bieber wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Anthony Kay wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Anthony Kay
95.8
Shane Bieber
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
10.2%
Shane Bieber
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
17.6%
Shane Bieber
15.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
31.9%
Shane Bieber
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
38.8%
Shane Bieber
55.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
8.2%
Shane Bieber
14.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Anthony Kay
.349
Shane Bieber
.477
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Anthony Kay
2.886.89
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
4.82
Shane Bieber
2.886.89
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Anthony Kay
1.022.28
now 1.40
1.39
Shane Bieber
1.022.28
now 2.00
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Anthony Kay
4064.80
now 42
46
Shane Bieber
4064.80
now 6
48
Winshigher is better
Anthony Kay
.0009.80
now 5
37
Shane Bieber
.0009.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAnthony Kay — sell.conf 0.88
Hold · wait & seeShane Bieber — hold.conf 0.50
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