MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Bieber wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Trevor Rogers wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Shane Bieber
92.2
Trevor Rogers
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Shane Bieber
10.8%
Trevor Rogers
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Shane Bieber
15.1%
Trevor Rogers
18.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Shane Bieber
30.1%
Trevor Rogers
32.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Shane Bieber
55.6%
Trevor Rogers
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Shane Bieber
14.3%
Trevor Rogers
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Shane Bieber
.477
Trevor Rogers
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Shane Bieber
37.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.10
Trevor Rogers
37.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.84
4.22
WHIPlower is better
Shane Bieber
1.022.28
now 2.00
1.30
Trevor Rogers
1.022.28
now 1.56
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Shane Bieber
4066.20
now 6
48
Trevor Rogers
4066.20
now 38
49
Winshigher is better
Shane Bieber
.0004.20
now 0
00
Trevor Rogers
.0004.20
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeShane Bieber — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · leans sellTrevor Rogers — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet