Rest of Season Projection
AnthonyCategoryMatt
41K ←31
3.72ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–4W →3–9
3–5SV ←1–3
Current Season
AnthonyCategoryMatt
31K ←19
5.67ERA →2.63
1.33WHIP →1.29
2W →4
3SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Anthony Nunez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.02)
Matt Gage
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Anthony Nunez: 41 K / 3.72 ERA vs Matt Gage: 31 K / 3.71 ERA — nearly identical ratios, but Gage's 3-9 W line suggests regression risk. The hold vs sell-high spread is real.