Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryMatt
40K ←31
3.67ERA ←3.71
1.27WHIP →1.25
2–4W →3–9
4–7SV ←1–3
Current Season
HoganCategoryMatt
31K ←19
2.60ERA ←2.63
1.59WHIP →1.29
2W →4
4SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.25)
Matt Gage
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Hogan Harris: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Matt Gage: 31 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).