Rest of Season Projection
MasonCategoryMatt
46K ←31
3.68ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–7W →3–9
0SV →1–3
Current Season
MasonCategoryMatt
30K ←19
4.09ERA →2.63
1.36WHIP →1.29
3W →4
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mason Fluharty
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.54 sits 1.56 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.359 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Matt Gage
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Fluharty: 47 K / 3.68 ERA. Matt Gage: 32 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).