Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryRico
40K ←32
3.67ERA →3.65
1.27WHIP →1.24
2–4W →3–6
4–7SV ←3–5
Current Season
HoganCategoryRico
31K ←28
2.60ERA →0.71
1.59WHIP →0.63
2W →3
4SV ←3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.25)
Rico Garcia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.131 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.58 is 1.32 above the ERA — regression coming
Hogan Harris: 42 K / 3.67 ERA. Rico Garcia: 32 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).