Rest of Season Projection
OrionCategoryRico
37K ←32
3.68ERA →3.65
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W ←3–6
1–3SV →3–5
Current Season
OrionCategoryRico
23K →28
2.53ERA →0.71
1.13WHIP →0.63
3W3
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Orion Kerkering
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.40)
Rico Garcia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.131 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.58 is 1.32 above the ERA — regression coming
Orion Kerkering: 39 K / 3.69 ERA. Rico Garcia: 32 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).