Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryOneil
6HR →15
20R →54
8RBI →53
8SB →25
.184AVG →.242
Current Season
AustinCategoryOneil
0HR →13
5R →42
2RBI →41
2SB →19
.217AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Slater
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.210)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.358, +0.043 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.377 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Austin Slater: 6 HR / 20 R. Oneil Cruz: 15 HR / 55 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).