MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Austin Warren wins 1 (ERA); Ryan Watson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
Ryan Watson
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
11.0%
Ryan Watson
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.2%
Ryan Watson
21.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.1%
Ryan Watson
33.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
38.0%
Ryan Watson
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
10.9%
Ryan Watson
9.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.321
Ryan Watson
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
26.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
4.14
Ryan Watson
26.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
4.34
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
11.59
now 1.13
1.34
Ryan Watson
11.59
now 1.46
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4040.60
now 22
0
Ryan Watson
4040.60
now 29
0
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Ryan Watson
.0001.48
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAustin Warren — hold.conf 0.60
SellRyan Watson — sell.conf 0.73
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