MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); Ryan Watson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.2
Ryan Watson
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
12.6%
Ryan Watson
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
26.1%
Ryan Watson
21.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
31.8%
Ryan Watson
33.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
31.5%
Ryan Watson
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.3%
Ryan Watson
9.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.308
Ryan Watson
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
3.226.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.90
Ryan Watson
3.226.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
4.34
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.102.01
now 1.81
1.37
Ryan Watson
1.102.01
now 1.46
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4040.60
now 26
0
Ryan Watson
4040.60
now 29
0
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Ryan Watson
.0001.48
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellRyan Watson — sell.conf 0.73
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