Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryRyne
36K →44
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W ←1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
AustinCategoryRyne
22K →30
1.33ERA ←5.56
1.13WHIP ←1.76
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Warren
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.31 is 1.61 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryne Stanek
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.91 sits 0.19 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.323 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Stanek projects for 44 K vs Warren's 36 K and both sit at nearly identical ERAs (3.71 vs 3.70). The strikeout edge and buy-low verdict favor Stanek.