MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Sam Moll
Sam Moll
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Austin Warren.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Sam Moll’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Austin Warren wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Sam Moll wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
Sam Moll
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
10.7%
Sam Moll
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
23.6%
Sam Moll
24.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.8%
Sam Moll
25.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
42.4%
Sam Moll
31.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
13.1%
Sam Moll
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.350
Sam Moll
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
24.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
3.70
Sam Moll
24.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.49
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
11.32
now 1.13
1.24
Sam Moll
11.32
now 1.07
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4031.60
now 22
22
Sam Moll
4031.60
now 26
20
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0002.80
now 1
12
Sam Moll
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0002.40
now 0
0
Sam Moll
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAustin Warren — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSam Moll — hold.conf 0.50
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