Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryChris
72K →136
2.91ERA ←3.18
1.21WHIP →1.11
1–4W →9–19
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BenCategoryChris
53K →80
1.92ERA ←2.01
0.93WHIP ←0.94
2W →8
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Ben Brown: 72 K / 2.91 ERA. Chris Sale: 136 K / 3.18 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).