Rest of Season Projection
BraxtonCategoryChris
125K →136
2.76ERA ←3.18
1.14WHIP →1.11
5–11W →9–19
0SV0
Current Season
BraxtonCategoryChris
81K ←80
2.77ERA →2.01
1.03WHIP →0.94
5W →8
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braxton Ashcraft
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.76, 1.34 below league — production is earned
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Braxton Ashcraft: 125 K / 2.76 ERA. Chris Sale: 136 K / 3.18 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).