Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryDavid
69K ←50
2.92ERA ←3.67
1.21WHIP ←1.24
1–4W ←1–2
1–2SV →13–25
Current Season
BenCategoryDavid
53K ←29
1.92ERA ←4.50
0.93WHIP ←1.58
2W ←1
1SV →12
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.92 is 1.00 above the ERA — regression coming
David Bednar
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.352 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ben Brown: 69 K / 2.92 ERA. David Bednar: 50 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).