MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, WHIP, W, SV); David Bednar wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
David Bednar
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
David Bednar
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
David Bednar
27.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
David Bednar
39.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
David Bednar
37.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
David Bednar
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
David Bednar
.262
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
25.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
David Bednar
25.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.78
now 1.08
1.23
David Bednar
.9001.78
now 1.58
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4048.40
now 42
34
David Bednar
4048.40
now 29
26
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.5202.48
now 2
12
David Bednar
.5202.48
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
1.4026.60
now 20
1121
David Bednar
1.4026.60
now 12
714
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
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