Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryBrent
20HR ←15
70R ←28
70RBI ←49
3SB →4
.270AVG ←.192
Current Season
BenCategoryBrent
17HR ←8
44R ←15
44RBI ←26
2SB2
.306AVG ←.194
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Brent Rooker
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Brent Rooker: 15 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).