Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryChristopher
20HR ←8
70R ←11
70RBI ←4
3SB →4
.270AVG ←.194
Current Season
BenCategoryChristopher
17HR ←0
44R ←3
44RBI ←1
2SB ←1
.306AVG ←.161
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Christopher Morel
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.216)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 39% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Christopher Morel: 8 HR / 11 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).