Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryDominic
20HR ←9
70R ←46
70RBI ←55
3SB ←0
.270AVG →.297
Current Season
BenCategoryDominic
17HR ←5
44R ←21
44RBI ←25
2SB ←0
.306AVG →.325
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Dominic Smith
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.362)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Dominic Smith: 9 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).