Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryIván
20HR ←12
70R ←52
70RBI ←40
3SB3
.270AVG ←.263
Current Season
BenCategoryIván
17HR ←7
44R ←35
44RBI ←27
2SB2
.306AVG ←.260
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Iván Herrera
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Iván Herrera: 12 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).