Cross-position comparison — no head-to-head winner arrows. Each player's own projection categories are shown in their column.
Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJoe
Ben Rice (1B)
20HR—
71R—
71RBI—
3SB—
.269AVG—
Joe Ryan (P)
—K134
—ERA3.07
—WHIP1.09
—W4–10
—SV0
Current Season
BenCategoryJoe
Ben Rice (1B)
17HR—
44R—
44RBI—
2SB—
.306AVG—
Joe Ryan (P)
—K79
—ERA3.20
—WHIP0.97
—W4
—SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.409 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Joe Ryan
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.07)
Rice projects for 20 HR but only 3 SB, while Ryan posts 134 K at 3.07 ERA. Their categories differ entirely; roster need determines value. Sell-high on Rice versus hold on Ryan reflects divergent outlooks.