Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJosé
20HR ←7
70R ←39
70RBI ←30
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.227
Current Season
BenCategoryJosé
17HR ←3
44R ←17
44RBI ←13
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
José Tena
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.296)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. José Tena: 7 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).