Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJosh
20HR ←13
70R ←44
70RBI ←51
3SB ←2
.270AVG ←.236
Current Season
BenCategoryJosh
17HR ←5
44R ←28
44RBI ←32
2SB ←1
.306AVG ←.225
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Josh Bell
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Josh Bell: 13 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).