Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryMark
20HR ←15
70R ←33
70RBI ←45
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.247
Current Season
BenCategoryMark
17HR ←7
44R ←19
44RBI ←26
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.224
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Mark Vientos
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.245 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Mark Vientos: 15 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).