Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryMiguel
20HR ←6
70R ←33
70RBI ←31
3SB ←2
.270AVG ←.248
Current Season
BenCategoryMiguel
17HR ←5
44R ←18
44RBI ←17
2SB ←1
.306AVG ←.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Miguel Andujar
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Miguel Andujar: 6 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).